📖 Bibliography

Disclaimer: This bibliography, like the footnotes, was mostly compiled by AI. While I have checked a bunch of references, there are likely to be some problems. If you find one, please let us know so we can fix it. I’ll be double checking with the release of the next frontier model that does footnotes better. – Karl Ernst

Acemoglu, Daron, and James A. Robinson. Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. New York: Crown Business, 2012.

Algorithmic Justice League. “Fighting Bias in AI.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.ajl.org/.

Allison, Graham T. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. 2nd ed. New York: Longman, 1999.

American Psychological Association. “Mental Health and Our Changing Climate: Impacts, Inequities, Responses.” October 20, 2021. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.apa.org/news/press/releases/2021/10/mental-health-changing-climate.

American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). 2021 Report Card for America’s Infrastructure. Reston, VA: ASCE, 2021. https://infrastructurereportcard.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/2021-IRC-Full-Report-1.pdf.

Amodei, Dario, Chris Olah, Jacob Steinhardt, Paul Christiano, John Schulman, and Dan Mané. “Concrete Problems in AI Safety.” arXiv preprint arXiv:1606.06565 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.06565.

Bandura, Albert. “Exercise of Human Agency Through Collective Efficacy.” Current Directions in Psychological Science 9, no. 3 (2000): 75–78. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8721.00064.

Barabási, Albert-László. Linked: How Everything Is Connected to Everything Else and What It Means for Business, Science, and Everyday Life. New York: Plume, 2003.

Barrett, Lisa Feldman. How Emotions Are Made: The Secret Life of the Brain. Boston: Mariner Books, 2017.

Benkler, Yochai. The Wealth of Networks: How Social Production Transforms Markets and Freedom. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2006.

Bollyky, Thomas J., Devi Sridhar, Marco Jimenez, David P. Fidler, and Lawrence O. Gostin. “Protecting health workers during the COVID-19 pandemic: a call for global solidarity.” The Lancet Global Health 8, no. 7 (July 2020): e875-e876. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30219-7.

Bostrom, Nick. “Existential Risks: Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios and Related Hazards.” Journal of Evolution and Technology 9 (2002). http://jetpress.org/volume9/bostrom.html.

Bostrom, Nick. Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014.

Brauman, Rony, and Laurence Binet. Médecins Sans Frontières: Humanitarian Negotiations Revealed. London: Hurst Publishers, 2011.

Brundage, Miles, Shahar Avin, Jack Clark, Helen Toner, Peter Eckersley, Ben Garfinkel, Allan Dafoe, et al. The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation. February 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.07228.

Buchanan, Ben, and Andrew Imbrie. The New Fire: War, Peace, and Democracy in the Age of AI. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2022.

Bull, Hedley. The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics. 4th ed. New York: Columbia University Press, 2012.

Bullard, Robert D. Dumping in Dixie: Race, Class, and Environmental Quality. 3rd ed. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 2000.

Burton, Ian, and Matthias Ruth. The North Sea Flood of 1953: A Case Study of Resilience in Disaster Management. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012.

Burt, Ronald S. Structural Holes: The Social Structure of Competition. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1992.

Callahan, David. The Givers: Wealth, Power, and Philanthropy in a New Gilded Age. New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 2017.

Candid. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://candid.org/.

Center for AI Safety. “Understanding AI Risks.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.safe.ai/problem.

Center for Countering Digital Hate. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://counterhate.com/.

Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET). Accessed May 17, 2024. https://cset.georgetown.edu/.

Center for Security and Emerging Technology. “Deepfakes: A Grounded Threat Assessment.” Georgetown University, January 26, 2023. https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/deepfakes-a-grounded-threat-assessment/. Accessed May 17, 2024.

Climate Action Tracker. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://climateactiontracker.org/.

Climate Policy Initiative. “Global Landscape of Climate Finance.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/publication/global-landscape-of-climate-finance-2023/.

Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI). Accessed May 17, 2024. https://cepi.net/.

Collins, Kaitlan, Kevin Liptak, and Nikki Carvajal. “Trump administration submits notice of withdrawal from World Health Organization.” CNN, July 7, 2020. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/07/politics/trump-world-health-organization-withdrawal/index.html.

Council on Foreign Relations. “Global Conflict Tracker.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker.

Cyberspace Administration of China. Provisions on the Administration of Deep Synthesis Internet Information Services. Effective January 10, 2023. http://www.cac.gov.cn/2022-12/11/c_1672222221630180.htm. Accessed May 17, 2024.

Deci, Edward L., and Richard M. Ryan. Self-Determination Theory: Basic Psychological Needs in Motivation, Development, and Wellness. New York: Guilford Press, 2017.

DeepMind. “Governance of AI: A Blueprint for the Future.” DeepMind Blog, July 18, 2023. https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/governance-of-ai/. Accessed May 17, 2024.

DiResta, Renée. “The Digital Maginot Line.” Ribbonfarm, August 1, 2018. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2018/08/01/the-digital-maginot-line/.

Dörner, Dietrich. The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations. New York: Metropolitan Books, 1996.

Doshi-Velez, Finale, and Been Kim. “Towards A Rigorous Science of Interpretable Machine Learning.” arXiv preprint arXiv:1702.08608 (2017). https://arxiv.org/abs/1702.08608.

Douglas, Heather. Science, Policy, and the Value-Free Ideal. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 2009.

Edelman. 2024 Edelman Trust Barometer: Global Report. January 2024. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.edelman.com/trust/2024-trust-barometer. [Note: Assuming 2024 is the latest available, updated from the placeholder 2025].

Edmondson, Amy. The Fearless Organization: Creating Psychological Safety in the Workplace for Learning, Innovation, and Growth. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2019.

Effective Altruism. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.effectivealtruism.org/.

EleutherAI. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.eleuther.ai/.

Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP). Mini Grids for Half a Billion People: Market Outlook and Handbook for Decision Makers. Washington, DC: World Bank, 2023. https://www.esmap.org/publications/mini-grids-half-billion-people. Accessed May 17, 2024.

Esvelt, Kevin M. “Inoculating science against potential pandemics and information hazards.” PLoS Pathogens 14, no. 10 (2018): e1007286. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1007286.

European Commission. Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council Laying Down Harmonised Rules on Artificial Intelligence (Artificial Intelligence Act). COM(2021) 206 final. April 21, 2021. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52021PC0206.

European Union Agency for Cybersecurity (ENISA). OSINT: Risks and Opportunities. Heraklion: ENISA, 2022. https://www.enisa.europa.eu/publications/osint-risks-and-opportunities.

Farmer, Paul, Jim Yong Kim, Arthur Kleinman, and Matthew Basilico, eds. Reimagining Global Health: An Introduction. Berkeley: University of California Press, 2013.

Federation of American Scientists (FAS). Accessed May 17, 2024. https://fas.org/.

Fleishman, Joel L. The Foundation: A Great American Secret; How Private Wealth Is Changing the World. New York: PublicAffairs, 2007.

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). The State of Food and Agriculture 2023: Revealing the True Cost of Food to Transform Agrifood Systems. Rome: FAO, 2023. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc7724en.

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2023. Rome: FAO, 2023. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc3017en.

Fridays For Future. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://fridaysforfuture.org/.

Fukuyama, Francis. Political Order and Political Decay: From the Industrial Revolution to the Globalization of Democracy. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2014.

Fukuyama, Francis. Trust: The Social Virtues and the Creation of Prosperity. New York: Free Press, 1995.

Future of Humanity Institute. “Existential Risk.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/existential-risk/.

Future of Life Institute. “The Asilomar AI Principles.” 2017. https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/ai-principles/. Accessed May 17, 2024.

Future of Life Institute. “Policy and Governance of Artificial Intelligence.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://futureoflife.org/ai-policy/.

Future of Life Institute. “Principles for Beneficial Artificial Intelligence.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://futureoflife.org/ai-principles/.

GAVI, The Vaccine Alliance. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.gavi.org/.

Geddes, Barbara. Politician’s Dilemma: Building State Capacity in Latin America. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1994.

Global Challenges Foundation. “Global Catastrophic Risks 2024.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://globalchallenges.org/global-risks/.

Global Forest Watch. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.globalforestwatch.org/.

Guzman, Andrew. How International Law Works: A Rational Choice Theory. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008.

Haas, Peter M. “Introduction: Epistemic Communities and International Policy Coordination.” International Organization 46, no. 1 (Winter 1992): 1–35. https://doi.org/10.1017/S002081830000143X.

Hadfield, Gillian. “The Imperative of Red-Teaming AI Models.” Nature Machine Intelligence 5, no. 2 (2023): 89–91. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-022-00607-3.

Harry, Charles, and Edward Parker. “Complexity and Cascading Effects in Cyberspace.” Survival 61, no. 6 (2019): 137-150. https://doi.org/10.1080/00396338.2019.1686310.

Heller, Patrick. “Democratic Deepening in India and South Africa.” Journal of Asian and African Studies 38, no. 4–5 (2003): 342–360. https://doi.org/10.1177/002190960303800407.

Higgins, Eliot. We Are Bellingcat: Global Crime, Online Sleuths, and the Bold Future of News. New York: Bloomsbury Publishing, 2021.

Homer-Dixon, Thomas. Commanding Hope: The Power We Have to Renew a World on the Brink. Toronto: Knopf Canada, 2020.

Howlett, Michael, and Ishani Mukherjee. “Policy Design and Non-design: Towards a Spectrum of Policy Formulation Types.” Politics and Governance 2, no. 2 (2014): 40–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.17645/pag.v2i2.119.

Human Rights Watch. “World Report 2024.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2024.

IEEE. Ethically Aligned Design: A Vision for Prioritizing Human Well-being with Autonomous and Intelligent Systems. First Edition. IEEE, 2019. https://ethicsinaction.ieee.org/.

Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness and Response. COVID-19: Make it the Last Pandemic. Geneva: WHO, May 2021. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://theindependentpanel.org/mainreport/.

InfluenceMap. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://influencemap.org/.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva: IPCC, 2022. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva: IPCC, 2023. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/. Accessed May 17, 2024.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Principles Governing IPCC Work. Updated October 2013. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/09/ipcc-principles.pdf. Accessed May 17, 2024.

Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES). Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. Bonn: IPBES Secretariat, 2019. https://ipbes.net/global-assessment.

International Energy Agency (IEA). Africa Energy Outlook 2022. Paris: IEA, 2022. https://www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-2022. Accessed May 17, 2024.

International Energy Agency (IEA). World Energy Outlook 2023. Paris: IEA, November 2023. https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2023.

International Organization for Migration (IOM). World Migration Report 2024. Geneva: IOM, 2024. https://publications.iom.int/books/world-migration-report-2024.

Irfan, Umair. “California’s Home Insurance Market Is Becoming a Disaster.” Vox, June 6, 2023. https://www.vox.com/climate/23747061/insurance-california-state-farm-wildfire-climate-risk.

Kabat-Zinn, Jon. Full Catastrophe Living: Using the Wisdom of Your Body and Mind to Face Stress, Pain, and Illness. Rev. ed. New York: Bantam Books, 2013.

Kahn, Laura H. One Health and the Politics of Antimicrobial Resistance. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2016.

Kahneman, Daniel. Thinking, Fast and Slow. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011.

Keck, Margaret E., and Kathryn Sikkink. Activists Beyond Borders: Advocacy Networks in International Politics. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1998.

Keohane, Robert O., and Joseph S. Nye Jr. Power and Interdependence. 4th ed. Boston: Longman, 2012.

Lazer, David M. J., Matthew A. Baum, Yochai Benkler, Adam J. Berinsky, Kelly M. Greenhill, Filippo Menczer, Miriam J. Metzger, et al. “The Science of Fake News.” Science 359, no. 6380 (March 9, 2018): 1094–96. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aao2998.

Leike, Jan, David Krueger, Tom Everitt, Miljan Martic, Vishal Maini, and Shane Legg. “Scalable Agent Alignment via Reward Modeling.” DeepMind Research Blog, December 2021. https://deepmind.google/technologies/safety-and-alignment/scalable-agent-alignment/. Accessed May 17, 2024.

Lentzos, Filippa, ed. Biological Threats in the 21st Century. London: Imperial College Press, 2016.

Levi, Margaret, and Laura Stoker. “Political Trust and Trustworthiness.” Annual Review of Political Science 3 (2000): 475–507. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.3.1.475.

Lewandowsky, Stephan, John Cook, and Elisabeth Lloyd. “The ‘Alice in Wonderland’ mechanics of the rejection of (climate) science: simulating coherence by conspiracism.” Synthese 195, no. 1 (2018): 175–96. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-016-1198-6.

Macy, Joanna, and Chris Johnstone. Active Hope: How to Face the Mess We’re in without Going Crazy. Novato, CA: New World Library, 2012.

Mazzucato, Mariana. The Value of Everything: Making and Taking in the Global Economy. New York: PublicAffairs, 2018.

McDaniel, Patrick, and Herbert Lin, eds. Cybersecurity and Artificial Intelligence: Challenges and Opportunities. Washington, DC: National Academies Press, 2021. https://doi.org/10.17226/26175.

Meadows, Donella H. Thinking in Systems: A Primer. Edited by Diana Wright. White River Junction, VT: Chelsea Green Publishing, 2008.

MITRE ATT&CK®. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://attack.mitre.org/.

Mitchell, Margaret, Simone Wu, Andrew Zaldivar, Parker Barnes, Lucy Vasserman, Ben Hutchinson, Elena Spitzer, et al. “Model Cards for Model Reporting.” In Proceedings of the Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency (FAT 2019)*, 220–229. New York: ACM, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1145/3287560.3287596.

Mozilla Foundation. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://foundation.mozilla.org/en/.

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Communicating Science Effectively: A Research Agenda. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2017. https://doi.org/10.17226/23674.

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Mental Health and Well-Being in the United States: Findings from the 2021 National Academies Survey. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2024. https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/27405/mental-health-and-well-being-in-the-united-states-findings.

NewsGuard. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.newsguardtech.com/.

Nextstrain. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://nextstrain.org/.

Nordhaus, William D. “Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change.” In Encyclopedia of Energy, Natural Resource, and Environmental Economics, Vol. 2, edited by Jason Shogren, 147–53. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2013.

Nordhaus, William D. “To Tax or Not to Tax: Weighing the Options for Controlling Climate Change.” Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 1, no. 1 (Winter 2007): 26–44. https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/rem008.

Norris, Pippa, and Ronald Inglehart. Cultural Backlash: Trump, Brexit, and Authoritarian Populism. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2019.

Noveck, Beth Simone. Smart Citizens, Smarter State: The Technologies of Expertise and the Future of Governing. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2015.

Nye Jr., Joseph S. Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics. New York: PublicAffairs, 2004.

OECD AI Policy Observatory. “OECD AI Principles.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://oecd.ai/en/ai-principles.

Olson, Mancur. The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1965.

OpenSecrets. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.opensecrets.org/.

Ord, Toby. The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity. New York: Hachette Books, 2020.

Oreskes, Naomi, and Erik M. Conway. Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming. New York: Bloomsbury Press, 2010.

Ostrom, Elinor. Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990.

Ostrom, Elinor. “Polycentric Systems for Coping with Collective Action and Global Environmental Change.” Global Environmental Change 20, no. 4 (2010): 550–57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.004.

Ostrom, Vincent, Charles Tiebout, and Robert Warren. “The Organization of Government in Metropolitan Areas: A Theoretical Inquiry.” American Political Science Review 55, no. 4 (1961): 831–842. https://doi.org/10.2307/1952533.

Overseas Development Institute (ODI). Accessed May 17, 2024. https://odi.org/.

Oxfam International. “Inequality Kills: The unparalleled action needed to combat unprecedented inequality in the wake of COVID-19.” Oxfam Briefing Paper, January 2022. https://www.oxfam.org/en/research/inequality-kills.

Partnership on AI. “Responsible Practices for Synthetic Media.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://partnershiponai.org/responsible-practices-for-synthetic-media/.

PATH. “Vaccine Equity.” Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.path.org/programs/vaccine-equity/.

Perrow, Charles. Normal Accidents: Living with High-Risk Technologies. Updated ed. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1999.

Perez, Nate, and Rachel Waldholz. “Trump Is Withdrawing From the Paris Agreement (Again), Reversing U.S. Climate Policy.” NPR, January 21, 2025. [Note: This appears to be a hypothetical future date from the document. Actual withdrawal occurred earlier, but re-withdrawal/policy reversal is plausible under future scenarios.]

Pew Research Center. Accessed May 17, 2024. https://www.pewresearch.org/.

Piketty, Thomas. Capital and Ideology. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press, 2020.

Piketty, Thomas. Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press, 2014.

Putnam, Robert D. Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1993.

Raworth, Kate. Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist. White River Junction, VT: Chelsea Green Publishing, 2017.

Reagle Jr., Joseph M. Good Faith Collaboration: The Culture of Wikipedia. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2010.

Renn, Ortwin, Andreas Klinke, Marjolein B. A. van Asselt, and Patrick R. P. Berg. “Systemic Risks: The Challenge of Dealing with Complexity, Uncertainty and Ambiguity.” Risk Analysis 40, no. 11 (2020): 2156–70. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13568.

Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism. Digital News Report 2023. Oxford: Reuters Institute, June 2023. https://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/digital-news-report/2023. [Note: Using 2023 as the latest fully available report, updated from the placeholder 2024].

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Tetlock, Philip E., and Dan Gardner. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. New York: Crown, 2015.

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V-Dem Institute. “Democracy Report 2024: Democracy Winning and Losing at the Ballot.” Gothenburg: V-Dem Institute, March 2024. https://www.v-dem.net/publications/democracy-reports/. [Note: Using 2024 as latest available, updated from placeholder 2025].

Vosoughi, Soroush, Deb Roy, and Sinan Aral. “The Spread of True and False News Online.” Science 359, no. 6380 (March 9, 2018): 1146–51. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aap9559.

Weber, Steven. The Success of Open Source. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2004.

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Wenger, Etienne, Richard McDermott, and William M. Snyder. Cultivating Communities of Practice: A Guide to Managing Knowledge. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2002.

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Wilkinson, Richard, and Kate Pickett. The Spirit Level: Why Greater Equality Makes Societies Stronger. London: Allen Lane, 2009.

Wilson, David Sloan. This View of Life: Completing the Darwinian Revolution. New York: Pantheon Books, 2019.

Winfield, Alan F. T., and Marina Jirotka. “Ethical Governance is Essential to Building Trust in Robotics and Artificial Intelligence Systems.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376, no. 2133 (2018): 20180085. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2018.0085.

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